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How much more accurate could your forecast be?

A $5,000,000 pipeline with 19% of it double-counted or stale is really $4,050,000. Forecast it at a 25% win rate from the board deck and you present $1,250,000. At the 9% win rate on real new business, the number you can defend is $364,500. Knowing that now avoids a $885,500 surprise at quarter end.

Those are the defaults. Move the sliders to your own numbers.

Real pipeline$4,050,000After duplicates and stale deals come out
Forecast as presented today$1,250,000CRM pipeline × the deck's win rate
Forecast you can defend$364,500Real pipeline × the real win rate
Surprise avoided at quarter end$885,500The miss you see now instead of in the board meeting

An estimate from your own inputs, not a quote or a guarantee. Your numbers stay in your browser until you send them.

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How the math works

  1. Real pipeline = CRM pipeline × (1 − double-counted or stale %).
  2. Forecast presented = CRM pipeline × win rate in the deck.
  3. Forecast supported = real pipeline × win rate on real new business.
  4. Surprise avoided = forecast presented − forecast you can defend.

What it leaves out

Timing. A real deal that closes two quarters late is its own forecasting problem, and this does not model it.

About the defaults

The defaults come from our own work: booked revenue that was 18.6% overstated by a double count, and a published 24.7% win rate that was 9.1% once expansion and renewal wins were taken out. Yours will differ. Most teams have never measured either.

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30 minutes with us, looking at your CRM and your stack. You leave with a list of what's broken, what it'd take to fix, and which pricing model fits. No deck.